CIM

William (Bill) Roscoe

Join

William (Bill) Roscoe

2024

CIM Distinguished Lecturers

2003

CIM Distinguished Lecturers

2022

Vale Medal for Meritorious Contributions to Mining

2005

CIM Fellowship

2009

Robert Elver Mineral Economics Award

Bill Roscoe is a Geologist with more than 50 years of experience in the mining industry in Canada and internationally. After working as an exploration geologist and consultant, he co-founded Roscoe Postle Associates Inc. (RPA) in 1985 and served as president, chairman, and chairman emeritus until its acquisition by SLR Consulting in 2019. He was instrumental in growing RPA into a nationally and internationally recognized geological and mining consulting firm with offices in Toronto, Vancouver, Denver, and London UK.

Since 1999 Roscoe has been co-chair of the CIM Special Committee on Valuation of Mineral Properties (CIMVAL). The CIMVAL Standards are now globally recognized and referenced by the TSX-V and other international stock exchanges. He represents CIMVAL on the International Mineral Valuation Committee (IMVAL) and is a past chair.

Roscoe has published many papers and given numerous presentations and workshops over the past 40 years in Canada and internationally on valuation of mineral properties and mineral resource estimation. He taught a course for five years on mineral resource estimation as an adjunct professor at the University of Toronto.

Roscoe has a B.Sc. (Eng.) from Queen’s University and M.Sc. and Ph.D. degrees from McGill University, all in geological sciences.  He is a P.Eng. in Ontario and British Columbia and a Life Member of CIM, PDAC, and the Association of Mineral Exploration BC.

Honorary Distinguished Lecturer from the Canadian Mining Hall of Fame 2024-25

Is the net present value of a preliminary economic assessment indicative of the market value of a mineral property?

Lecture Abstract

X

A Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) is often the initial evaluation of a mineral property after mineral resources have been delineated. The main purpose is to determine if the property offers sufficient encouragement to justify further expenditures to collect more data for more rigorous economic analysis. A discount rate of 5% is commonly used for cash flow analysis in the PEA to calculate the Net Present Value (NPV). Is the NPV at this discount rate indicative of the Market Value of the property? 

To investigate this question, my colleagues and I compiled information on numerous properties with PEAs over the past decade. For those properties which were bought and sold, we compared the NPV of the PEA with the Market Value of the transaction on each property. For properties that did not transact, we compared the NPV with the adjusted Market Capitalization of the company for which the property was its major asset  

We observed that the NPVs in the PEAs were significantly higher than both the Market Values of the transactions and the adjusted Market Capitalizations. We concluded that, to bring the NPV into line with the Market Value and Market Capitalization, a discount rate in the order of 15% to 20% would be required.

Distinguished Lecturer 2003-2004

The Development of a Canadian Code and Guidelines for Valuation of Mineral Properties

Lecture Abstract

X

Following the Bre-X “gold salting” fiasco, the Mining Standards Task Force of the Toronto Stock Exchange and the Ontario Securities Commission in its Final Report (January 1999) recommended that the Canadian Institute of Mining, Metallurgy and Petroleum (CIM) establish a committee to review and advise on approaches and methodologies for the valuation of mineral properties. On May 5, 1999 at the Calgary Annual General Meeting, CIM Council approved the formation of a Special Committee on Valuation of Mineral Properties (CIMVal) to be co-chaired by Keith Spence (Chairman of the CIM Mineral Economics Society) and Dr. William Roscoe (Roscoe Postle Associates Inc.). The mandate of CIMVal is to recommend Standards and Guidelines for Valuation of Mineral Properties to be used by the mining industry in general and to be adopted by Canadian Securities regulators and Canadian stock exchanges.

An important factor in assessing the type of approach or method to be utilized in the valuation of a mineral property; is its stage of development. Mineral properties can be viewed as a continuum from a very early stage exploratory concession to a late stage producing operation. As the continuum moves from early stage to late stage, the quantity and quality of information; and the confidence level of that data increases. Hence it is vital that the correct valuation method or methods be applied at the correct stage. The presentation will therefore examine the criteria and rationale for choosing the appropriate valuation approach or methods, at the various stages of development of the property. A Valuation may be required for various reasons, including the transfer of a state owned mining asset to a private entity or a foreign entity, or acquisition transactions among companies. In addition, in various countries; valuations may be required for merger and acquisitions transactions, stock market transactions, fairness opinions, taxation purposes, court litigation, assessment of bank security, insurance claims, government expropriation, accounting purposes, initial public offerings (IPO’s) and asset disposals.

A Valuation attempts to determine how much a project is worth in dollars or other currencies. The presentation will also provide an overview of Valuation of Mining Properties. Issues covered will include; the basis of value, standards and guidelines, approaches, methods and a brief international perspective.